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I created a power ranking of fantasy quarterbacks that recommends where you should draft them based on 24 performance variables
What is up world!!!! Football season is FINALLY ALMOST HERE. And that means it is time for some sweet sweet fantasy football drafts. Throughout the past few weeks, I’ve been using data to analyze NFL fantasy quarterback performance. The result of this research is a quantitative power ranking of quarterbacks and where you should draft them. Quantitative meaning this is not my opinion, this is what the numbers said. So don’t get mad at me when someone isn’t ranked where you think they should be ranked. Chances are I agree with you, but these are the numbers.
To be clear, the purpose of this ranking is to SUGGEST where and when you draft a certain quarterback. I did a very similar ranking last year and I won both of my leagues. Just saying.
So when you’re drafting, whip out this article as a reference.
If you any interest in how I created my rankings, read the next paragraph. But if you trust me, skip the paragraph.
To begin, I used 36 quarterbacks that have the potential of starting a game this season. I did not include the rookies because they required a different set of factors. Rookies are also notoriously difficult to project. I also didn’t include Mark Sanchez because you’re an idiot if you draft him. For each QB I recorded 24 different factors that play a significant influence on the quarterback’s fantasy performance. Some may say 24 factors makes this analysis too complex, but it worked for me last year. The information was collected from Football Outsiders and Pro Football Reference. These quarterbacks were then ranked on a scale of 1 to 36 based on that factor. 36 being the best and 1 being the worst. Then based on ESPN Standard QB Fantasy Scoring, I assigned weights to each of the factors. These factors include:
Once each quarterback was ranked based on each factor, the factor ranks were assigned weights and resulted in the QB Fantasy Score Formula (see above).
The result of this formula was a score out of 620 points. The higher the score, the better the fantasy quarterback. To make the score simpler, I divided all scores by 6.2 and rounded to the nearest integer. All this resulted in each quarterback having a score out of 100. After calculating the score, I ranked the 36 quarterbacks from most points to least. The quarterback with the most points, Drew Brees, ranked #1 and is the best fantasy quarterback to draft. Meanwhile, the quarterback with the least points, Geno Smith, ranked #36 and no team should draft him.
I know I said I wouldn’t use my opinion, but I did. Sorta. Along with assigning ranks, I also recommended what round each player should be drafted in. I’m a firm believer that a quarterback should not be in the first five picks of the draft but after that its fair game.
This is complex, but I created a graphic that visualizes and simplifies the results. Okay, HERE’S THE RANKING:
So when you’re drafting, have this article pulled up as a reference. After you draft and after the season, let me know how it went! I always appreciate the feedback. Also, send me any requests for other fantasy research. Y’all rock.
Again, big shout out to Pro Football Reference and Football Outsiders for the stats.